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人均GDP反映了国民的富裕程度和生活水平及我国的经济状况。对人均GDP的预测,有利于我们更进一步了解我国的经济状况。
社会消费品零售总额反映了我国人民的消费水平。因为消费水平的变动与国民收入增长的变动有着直接的依存关系,所以对社会消费品零售总额的预测也是对我国经济的一种衡量。而且消费是GDP的主要部分,其变动必然会引起GDP的变动。对于这两个数据的预测,可以让我们准确认识我国经济发展水平。
本文利用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,正交多项式回归分析预测模型及对以上两种方法进行组合GM模型分析预测分别对人均GDP和消费品零售总额两组数据进行综合分析预测。通过三种方法分析人均GDP和消费品零售总额两组数据所预测出的08年和09年的人均GDP及消费品零售总额,希望能够更真实地反映出我国社会的经济发展水平以及人民的消费水平。

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人均GDP反映了国民的富裕程度和生活水平及我国的经济状况。对人均GDP的预测,有利于我们更进一步了解我国的经济状况。
Average per person GDP has reflected national's wealthy degree and the living standard and our country's financial circumstance. To the average per person GDP predict that is advantageous in our further understands our country's financial circumstance.
社会消费品零售总额反映了我国人民的消费水平。因为消费水平的变动与国民收入增长的变动有着直接的依存关系,所以对社会消费品零售总额的预测也是对我国经济的一种衡量。而且消费是GDP的主要部分,其变动必然会引起GDP的变动。对于这两个数据的预测,可以让我们准确认识我国经济发展水平。
The social consumable total volume of retail sales has reflected our country people's consumption level. Because consumption level's change grows with the national income the change has the direct interdependence relations, therefore to the social consumable total volume of retail sales's forecast is also to our country economy one kind of weight. Moreover the expense is the GDP main part, its change definitely will cause the GDP change. Regarding these two data's predict that may let us know our country economic development level accurately.
本文利用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,正交多项式回归分析预测模型及对以上两种方法进行组合GM模型分析预测分别对人均GDP和消费品零售总额两组数据进行综合分析预测。通过三种方法分析人均GDP和消费品零售总额两组数据所预测出的08年和09年的人均GDP及消费品零售总额,希望能够更真实地反映出我国社会的经济发展水平以及人民的消费水平。
This article uses GM (1,1) the gray forecast model, the orthogonal polynomial regression analysis forecast model and carries on to the above two methods combines the GM model analysis forecast separately carries on the generalized analysis forecast to average per person GDP and the consumable total volume of retail sales two groups of data. Forecast through three method analysis average per person GDP and the consumable total volume of retail sales two groups of data 08 year and 09 year average per person GDP and the consumable total volume of retail sales, hoped can reflect our country society really the economic development level as well as people's consumption level.
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第1个回答  2008-06-10
GDP per capita reflects the people's wealth and living standards and China's economic situation. The per capita GDP forecasts, help us better understand China's economic situation.
Retail sales of consumer goods reflected the Chinese people's consumption level. Because of changes in consumption levels and changes in national income growth has a direct relationship of interdependence, the total retail sales of social consumer goods to the forecast on China's economy is also a measure. But consumption is a major part of GDP, its GDP would be a change in the movement. For these two data projections, will allow us to accurately understand China's economic development level.
By using GM (1,1) grey model, orthogonal polynomial regression analysis and forecasting model of a combination of the above two methods of forecasting model GM were the per capita GDP and total volume of retail sales data were a comprehensive analysis of forecasts. Through three methods of per capita GDP and the total volume of retail sales data were forecast to 08 and 09 of the per capita GDP and retail sales of consumer goods, hoping to more realistically reflect our society's level of economic development and people's consumption level.本回答被提问者采纳
第2个回答  2008-06-10
GDP per capita reflects the people's wealth and living standards and China's economic situation. The per capita GDP forecasts, help us better understand China's economic situation.
Retail sales of consumer goods reflected the Chinese people's consumption level. Because of changes in consumption levels and changes in national income growth has a direct relationship of interdependence, the total retail sales of social consumer goods to the forecast on China's economy is also a measure. But consumption is a major part of GDP, its GDP would be a change in the movement. For these two data projections, will allow us to accurately understand China's economic development level.
By using GM (1,1) grey model, orthogonal polynomial regression analysis and forecasting model of a combination of the above two methods of forecasting model GM were the per capita GDP and total volume of retail sales data were a comprehensive analysis of forecasts. Through three methods of per capita GDP and the total volume of retail sales data were forecast to 08 and 09 of the per capita GDP and retail sales of consumer goods, hoping to more realistically reflect our society's level of economic development and people's consumption level.
第3个回答  2008-06-10
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