Larry Elliott, economics editor
Wednesday March 14, 2007
Guardian Unlimited
In normal times, Wall Street's high-rollers pay scant attention to what's happening to Americans at the other end of the income scale.
The poorer suburbs and the trailer parks barely rate a glance as they speed off to their lavish weekend homes.
Events over the past few weeks have changed all that. Suddenly, Wall Street's Masters of the Universe are intensely interested in the looming crisis in the sub-prime mortgage market - home loans extended to those with low incomes and poor credit ratings.
The fear is that loans extended with reckless abandon to those unable to pay them back are now turning sour en masse and that what threatens to be the biggest wave of foreclosures in the modern era could spell serious trouble not just for the US but for the global economy.
Stock markets are already trembling following the collapse of New Century Financial - one of the major play-ers in the sub-prime market - and the release of data yesterday showing the number of loans in default is steadily rising.
One estimate suggests that one-in-five sub-prime loans written in the past two years is likely to end in fore-closure - around two million in all.
Only recently has the scale of the potential problem started to be recognised. Sub-prime mortgages totalled $600bn last year, accounting for about one-fifth of the US home-loan market. An estimated $1.3 trillion in sub-prime mortgages - equivalent in size to the economy of California - are currently outstanding.
This is no longer a niche market: sub-prime mortgages account for one quarter of new US home loans, re-flecting the difficulty many Americans have in scrambling on the housing ladder in an era when property prices have been rising and wages have been rising sluggishly.
What happened is that a few years ago, when interest rates were low and the US financial sector was awash with cash, lenders were keen to make loans and allowed people to take out mortgages when they were not earning enough to keep up the payments. Often, lenders did not make even the most basic of checks to see whether borrowers had the financial wherewithal to pay back what they owed.
This was a huge and lucrative market for the US financial sector. Some 40% of Americans are classed as sub-prime - essentially not having high enough Fico ratings to be lent to by a Federal Reserve-backed institution. Fico scores are rankings created by Fair Isaac & Co Credit to determine whether customers will repay loans.
Wall Street encouraged this behaviour by bundling loans into securities that were sold to pension funds and hedge funds looking for higher returns.
While house prices were going up, these securities seemed a solid bet.
因为提问有字数限制,所以这只是文章的一小部分.
我也能下个翻译软件来翻译,但是不够准确,所以请真正懂这篇文章的人来帮帮我,如果翻译的好的话我会适当给你追加分的哈!
谢谢咯!